More homes sold in the Primary market even as listings stayed a little lower
The one number that changes what you should do: the Real Estate Data Aggregator counted 3,995 homes sold across the Primary market in the three months ending August 31, 2026, up 3.5% from the same period a year before. At the same time, homes for sale fell 8.6%. More sales, fewer choices. That means buyers are still active, and well-prepared sellers have less competition than they did last year.
Nationally, Realtor.com reported that pending home sales were down 11.3% year over year in September 2026. The Primary market told a different story. Sales were up, not down. That local strength matters when you are deciding whether to list or wait.
Rates are a real factor right now
Freddie Mac put the average 30-year fixed rate at 7.32% as of October 22, 2026. The 15-year rate averaged 6.68%. Realtor.com reported the average mortgage rate on the market at 7.40% as of October 22, 2026. Rates climbed above 7% for the first time since January 2025, according to Realtor.com. That is a real cost for buyers, and it shapes what price range moves fastest.
How each community stacked up
Not every ZIP moved the same way. Some communities saw big jumps in sales. Others saw prices dip a little. Here is where each one landed in the three months ending August 31, 2026, according to the Real Estate Data Aggregator.
| Community | Homes sold | Change vs. 2025 | Median price | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Surprise 85387 | Surprise 85387 | 468 | +18.8% | $444,490 |
| Litchfield Park 85340 | Litchfield Park 85340 | 191 | +29.1% | $521,000 |
| Peoria 85383 | Peoria 85383 | 388 | +6.3% | $660,000 |
| Buckeye 85326 | Buckeye 85326 | 418 | +4.8% | $380,000 |
| Goodyear 85338 | Goodyear 85338 | 383 | -3% | $458,000 |
| Sun City 85351 | Sun City 85351 | 273 | +1.5% | $252,500 |
Speed: some homes moved fast, others took patience
El Mirage (85335) had the shortest median time on market: 50 days, according to the Real Estate Data Aggregator. That was 10 days shorter than a year before. Phoenix (85083) came in at 58 days, also 9 days shorter. On the other end, Wittmann (85361) sat at 104 days, 39 days longer than a year before. Not every home sold fast, and the gap between communities is wide.
- 1El Mirage 8533550 days
- 2Phoenix 8508358 days
- 3Surprise 8537960 days
- 4Peoria 8538263 days
- 5Surprise 8538863 days
- 6Sun City 8537366 days
- 7Peoria 8538369 days
- 8Surprise 8537871 days
- 9Goodyear 8533871 days
- 10Buckeye 8532672 days
Where prices moved up, and where they dipped
Waddell (85355) saw the biggest price gain: up 12.2% to a median of $534,077, per the Real Estate Data Aggregator. Wittmann (85361) rose 10.9% to $510,000. On the other side, Sun City (85373) saw the sharpest drop, down 9.2% to $327,000. A few dips are honest parts of this market, and they do not cancel out the overall picture of steady sales.
Quick-contract rates: where buyers moved fastest
El Mirage (85335) had 25% of homes go under contract within two weeks of listing, up 7.6 points from a year before, according to the Real Estate Data Aggregator. Surprise (85379) was close behind at 26.4%, up 8 points. Sun City West (85375) hit 24.7%, up 6 points. Those numbers tell sellers: price it right and it can move quickly. Surprise (85387) sat at just 8.6%, so results really do vary by neighborhood.
- 1Surprise 8537926.4%
- 2El Mirage 8533525%
- 3Sun City West 8537524.7%
- 4Goodyear 8539522%
- 5Surprise 8538819.3%
- 6Surprise 8537418.7%
- 7Sun City 8535117.6%
- 8Sun City 8537317.5%
- 9Goodyear 8533817.4%
- 10Wittmann 8536116%
What the national picture adds
The National Association of Realtors reported existing-home sales nationally reached 3.99 million units in September 2026, with prices up 1.3% from a year before. National inventory rose to 1.60 million homes. The Primary market's own inventory fell 8.6%, so local supply is tighter than the national picture suggests. That difference matters when you are pricing a home here.
- The Real Estate Data Aggregator counted 3,995 homes sold in the Primary market in the three months ending August 31, 2026, up 3.5%, while inventory fell 8.6%.
- Nationally, Realtor.com reported pending sales were down 11.3% year over year.
- This market held up better than that.
- Rates are above 7% (Freddie Mac), so pricing and preparation still matter.
- Some communities moved fast, some took longer.
- One street can read very differently from the ZIP code as a whole.
Your next step
(602) 342-8006Text me your address and I will send back how your home's price and days on market compare with what actually sold near you in the three months ending August 31, 2026. Takes a day, costs nothing.
Text me- Real Estate Data Aggregator numbers for ZIPs 85083, 85085, 85086, 85383, 85382, 85374, 85373, 85375, 85387, 85361, 85351, 85335, 85378, 85355, 85379, 85388, 85395, 85340, 85338 and 85326, the three months ending August 31, 2026, compared with the same months of 2025. Real Estate Data Aggregator last updated them on Oct 7, 2026.
- Freddie Mac: Mortgage Rates, read Oct 25, 2026
- National Association of Realtors: Existing-Home Sales, read Oct 25, 2026
- Redfin: U.S. Home Prices Ticked Up 0.25% in September, Oct 20, 2026
- Realtor.com: Weekly Housing Trends: U.S. Market Update (Week Ending Oct. 17, 2026), Oct 22, 2026
- Realtor.com: September 2026 Monthly Housing Trends: Price Cuts Hit 4-Year Highs as Mortgage Rates Top 7%, Sep 30, 2026